The State of the Nation

Notre Dame Nation, that is. Sarah does a fine job humoring me and can actually hold her own, but I still don’t get many chances to talk Irish football in
THE UGLY
Record Bowl Losing Streak
Two-year Talent Black Hole
When Willingham was fired, many fans and even the media felt he deserved more time. “Yes, his record was bad, but give him more time to bring in his own players.” The problem was, unbeknownst to the casual fans (and blind media members), Willingham was a flat-out lazy recruiter and “his players” showed little hope for the future. With his first class, Ty benefited from
THE BAD
The Wizardry of Weis
With 3 blowout losses, some of the aura surrounding Charlie after last season has indeed been lost, as analyst Bob Davie so bitterly noted recently. However, to go as far as saying "the program is not headed in a positive direction" is laughable. No matter how those among the anti-Irish members of the media try to spin it, there is no denying that the big guy can coach.
Let's look at one year at a time. After 2 years with an offense that was beyond anemic under Willingham/Diedrick, Charlie absolutely lit things up with possibly the most prolific offense in Irish history. This turnaround was done with virtually the same players. Who else can be given the credit? He turned an average but talented QB into a record breaking machine and possibly the number one overall pick in the draft. Furthermore, he turned a no-name receiver into an All-American and ND's career leader in only 2 seasons. And let's not forget about Stovall and Fasano, who also have Charlie to thank for their sudden rise into the NFL. Even though all of his gains came on the offensive side of the ball (naturally), Charlie took a team with a 2-year losing record and brought them within a FG and a fingernail of playing for it all (reference the MSU loss and the infamous USC 4th and 9 play, respectively). Because of this remarkable run, he deserved every bit of the "genius" talk that came his way. 
Maurice Stovall (left) has Charlie to thank for his NFL paycheck.
It was also easy to see why most were fooled (including me) into believing the Irish would be even better in '06. Since freshmen rarely contribute to a major program, the core of the team is the sophomores through seniors. The black hole moved up into the core this season. This simply proved too much for even the wizard to overcome, and in reality he actually OVERachieved with this team. While Michigan, USC, and LSU's talent advantage painfully showed, the Irish won 5 games against teams possessing equal or better overall talent (GT, PennSt, MSU, Purdue, UCLA). Only against Stanford, N.Carolina, and the 3 military acadamies did the Irish truly have a decisive advantage. So in hindsight, 10-3 was another admirable job by the little tuna. Furthermore, starting 19-4 in his first two seasons with 2 BCS bids, Weis has out-performed the start of college football's poster boys: Carroll, Stoops, Saban, and Tressel. So the sky is not actually falling. Weis really can coach.
One word: Jimmy
By now everyone has heard of the "LeBron James of high school football." Many critics point to the same hype surrounding Ron Powlus 12 years ago. So even if he does flop, the fact that the best high school player in recent memory is coming to ND shows Weis can also bring in the horses. Two straight top 5 classes proves he's on his way to stocking up and being able to meet ND Nation's expectations (which are no higher than his own).
I can already hear some of you saying, "Now wait a minute Roc, for 8 years you blamed Davie and Willingham and said ND has plenty of talent. Why does Charlie suddenly get a break? Now they don't have talent?" The answer is: look at the recruiting rankings. These things are not perfect, but they are surprisingly accurate. When you compare recruiting rankings to how they end up performing, the numbers do not, of course, line up perfectly. However, there are remarkably few teams playing with top 10 (or top 20 for that matter) recruiting classes who finish unranked.... which, on average, is exactly what Davie and Willingham did. Charlie, on the other hand, has finished in the top 10-15 with essentially unranked talent (two top 10 classes, but two almost worthless classes.)
For those of you doubting that Charlie has righted the ship, I challenge you to debate any of the following grades on my report card:
*needs to solve the problems on defense
Davie
Willingham
Weis
Program Management
C
D
B*
Game Management
C-
C-
A-**
Xs & Os (within his area of expertise: O or D)
A^
D^^
A
Graduation rate/Integrity
B+
A
A
Production (out of given talent level)
D
F
A-
Recruiting
B+
F
A
Player Development
C+
D
A
"Gets it" (i.e. "Gets" ND)
F
C
A+
**downgraded for asinine 4th down calls
^would take him as a D-coordinator any day
^^what exactly was/is his area of expertise?
Still not convinced? Where do I come up with this stuff? Need to see some hard numbers? Well, here you go, courtesy of Irish Eyes. The raw data shows the success of a coaching transition. The most telling statistic is the point differential.
Davie
First two seasons: 16-9 record; +97 point differential
Prior two seasons: 17-6, +371
Change: -2 games, -274 points
Willingham
First two seasons: 15-10, +1
Prior two seasons: 14-9, +85
Change: 0 games, -84 points
Weis
First two: 19-6, +239 points
Prior two: 11-13, -72 points
Change: +7.5 games, +311 points
So.... (if you're still reading) yes, 10-3 felt more like 8-5 because of this season's high expectations. But Charlie was also the reason for high expectations in the first place. After Davingham, when 10-2 and a BCS berth is already "disappointing," I'd say we're in pretty good shape. The reality of this year's team is that it was a lot like my surfer haircut. It looked good on the outside, golden from a year of shining in the sun, but a look inside revealed the extremely thin reinforcements disguised underneath. Thankfully, the big difference is that unlike me, the Irish are investing heavily on the best Rogaine on the market. The weak patch will soon be a memory, as the thickest layer of troops in 10 years has entered the scene with Jimmy Clausen leading the charge. Who ever doubted JC would lead Our Lady's team back to the promised land?
Go Irish!
(P.S. My research staff continues to investigate the rumors that LSU QB JeMarcus Russell's real father is Shaquille O'Neal. Stay tuned.)














"The streak will end in a 2nd tier bowl next year" What? I would think you would expect (demand) a national championship every year...
Maybe you address the Stanford debacle and point to that era as to why ND will be a bit down next year... but why can't they win with the young guys?
Plus, all the guys returning...
Including the heart of ND football... Minnesota players such as Carlson and Laws!
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Darius Walker to the NFL? Good Luck dancing around an NFL line of scrimmage! glen
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